Speaker:
Jane Harvill
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Mississippi State University
Time and Place: 3:30 p.m., Friday, February 3, 2006, 14 Allen
Title:
A HYBRID APPROACH TO NONLINEAR TIME SERIES
Abstract:
Functional coefficient autoregressive (FCAR) models can be considered
a
hybrid on parametric and nonparametric models. We present a vector
FCAR
model and introduce a bootstrap test for model specificity. Three
forecasting procedures are presented and investigated. For
illustration,
the methods are applied to unemployment and GNP.
Host: Kevin Knudson, (662) 325-7146, knudson@math.msstate.edu
Refreshments: 3:00-3:30 p.m., 467 Allen
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